Do
politicians build strong platforms or do they just follow Big Data to win in
the elections?
Elections:
The process that involves thousands of people and takes massive character every
few years across all elected governments on earth. Elections are the time when
huge campaigns run at each distinct part of the countries and when consultants
prepare massive polls and analyze loads of information to identify and target
millions of voters.
The US Politicians learned fast to adopt Big Data and now
they apply it to the attitudes and preferences of the population to “understand
why people are voting for them or why they’re not, and that has the effect of
hopefully being able to change policy in a more meaningful and democratic way”.
The 2012 US elections displayed how Big Data could be used for turning gigantic
campaign data into detailed practical information. Data analyst Nate Silver
became a celebrity when he managed to predict the results in each of the 50
states accurately.
Few
contraindications for the application of Big Data in elections exist though. In
the 1948 elections, the polls (Big Data back then) predicted a Thomas Dewey
victory over Harry Truman. That election marked the first time pollsters relied
on telephone surveys, giving them access to more voters. It turned out that a
lot of Truman supporters didn't have phones. The real results turned out to be
otherwise. Or bringing parallels to nowadays, when huge campaigns and platforms
are built to count the polls of voters on Facebook and other social platforms we
must consider that “the elderly woman in Philadelphia, who doesn't have a photo
ID, also probably doesn't tweet much or otherwise contribute to the 15
terabytes of new information on Facebook every day”. This example shows that
Big Data can be very helpful in our everyday life and that no one can escape
from it, but analysts need to keep their critical mind to not blindly fall into
the data gap.
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